Quak, Quak, quuaakk

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Joined 11 months ago
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Cake day: December 23rd, 2023

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  • They (Amsterdam council) made a soccer based risk analysis, which was deemed low.

    Then because of the current political climate they explicitly kicked it up to the counter terrorism bureau of the Netherlands to make a risk assessment. The NCTB said there where no credible threats or other direct indications of pre planned problems but did indicate the risk as above average, hence the local government had almost double the extra police they normally would have in the occasion of a soccer match.

    Now an independent audit of the preparations is scheduled and a separate audit of the day itself.

    As for what happened on the day itself, both groups are pointing at the other, and depending on the stance people have on Israël they blame a specific group… but the fact is things are very unclear at this moment. We have very colored whiteness statements and videos that don’t show whole incidents from prelude to finish, just snippets.

    The police did indicate that because the people assaulting the soccer supporters using small groups and hit and run tactict, they had a lot of problems getting a handle on things, as usually soccer riots is 2 large groups duking it out… this was very different… another reason the police are also conducting their separate investigation as they need to learn lessons from this as well.

    I’m inclined to deem both groups assholes and wait for the investigation. Regardless violence of any kind is unacceptable. And soccer matches should have a surcharge to pay for police presence as this should not be on the publics dime.














  • Harris said she could not think of anything she would do different from Biden in a period where Biden was remarkably unpopular and people are hurting, a lot. And she essentially promised them more of the same. “We won’t go back” is not a promise to move forward. And her promises to help people start a business and give child credits… does not help anyone not interested in starting a business, who already has kids or does not want kids. Everything was contingent on very narrow promises.

    So the voters that needed change stayed home… They can say they did not vote for Trump and wash their hands of anything bad that happens.

    Let’s see how it pans out.


  • America will withdraw from anywhere without a direct financial benefit to the administration. This creates a vacuum and blind spots that will be filled by the US’s adversaries, creating an even more opaque playing field for the US.

    Heavily tarrifed sales to the US will be paid for by the US citizens while at the same time non US companies will see their sales in the US decline. If he removes income tax, this might be a bump in take home, but won’t offset the rise in prices, especially not if US companies will just raise their prices to as close as possible match the non US alternatives making record profits.

    Trump will demand countries pay for us protection, but having shown to be unreliable, this might mean some short term income for the US, the countries will scramble to be independent from the US and the US MIC as they cannot be trusted either (the us might stop sales, or even turn of supplied weapons).

    The same for Ukraine, most likely Trump will just tell Europe to poney up the money and as long as the EU has no alternative they will have to, or they will allow Ukraine to fall, blaming it on trump. Regardless the relationship between the US and the EU will dramatically sour.

    Since the EU is in an energy crisis, most likely Trump will try to price gouge the EU here as well… on the other hand, drill baby drill could mean cheaper energy overall giving him severe leverage over countries in the middle east.


  • Luckily the police and the military have a bit different standards. Army generals are mostly well educated and very well read men who deal with the whole world and not just their neck of the woods, and possibly more important is that in the world of the military they do not have the monopoly on violence. They have to deal with adversaries who are equals and thus changes the power dynamic A LOT. A police captain can in the end just escalate all the way to the national guard and stomp out anything… in the military they cannot as their escalations immediately leads to deaths and escalates all the way to nuclear Armageddon. So luckily they are of a different breed.

    But now, trump might replace the top brass with his loyalists, (loyalty > competence) fast tracking some appointments of people that normally not have made it to that level.

    The guard rails are off… the world is in for a wild ride.